Today’s highs reach upwards of the 70s today and it will add enough “juice” to the atmosphere to cause an enhanced to slight risk of storms this evening.
The tricky part is the timing and track. Right now the strongest part of the storm is supposed to track south of us. 20 mile shift and we will be right in the path of the most severe weather. As for the timing it’s pretty broad. Anywhere from 6 p.m. to midnight.
Straight line winds, possible tornadoes will be the biggest fear. More heavy rains could cause localized flooding around leaf clogged gutters.
After tonight fall weather moves in with highs in the 50s through Saturday.
Here is the official NWS statement:
452 AM CST TUE NOV 29 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN BETWEEN 6 PM AND 2 AM TONIGHT FOR AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS, BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. RAINFALL TOTALS FROM YESTERDAY ADDED TO THE RAINS WE WILL EXPERIENCE TONIGHT WILL AVERAGE 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS AS WELL AS LEAF-CLOGGED DRAINS COULD CAUSE SOME FLOODING.